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Afforestation will hardly dent global warming

Schemes to convert croplands or marginal lands to forests will make almost no inroads against global warming this century, a scientific study published on Sunday said. Afforestation is being encouraged under the UN’s Kyoto Protocol climate-change treaty under the theory that forests are “sinks” that soak up carbon dioxide from the air through photosynthesis. But environmental researchers, in new probe, said that even massive conversion of land to forestry would have only a slender benefit against the greenhouse-gas problem.

This is partly because forests take decades to mature and CO2 is a long-lasting molecule, able to lurk for centuries in the atmosphere. But another reason is that forests, even as they absorb greenhouse gas, are darker than croplands and thus absorb more solar heat – and in high latitudes, this may even result in net warming. Vivek Arora of the University of Victoria in British Columbia and Alvaro Montegro of St. Francis Xavier University in Nova Scotia modeled five scenarios in which afforestation was carried out over 50 years, from 2011 to 2060.

They used a Canadian programme called CanESM1 that simulated the impacts on land, sea and air if Earth’s surface temperature rose by some 3 degree Celsius by 2100 compared to 1850. Even if all the cropland in the world were afforested, this would reduce the warming by only 0.45 degree Celsius by a timescale of 2081-2100, according to the study, which appears in the journal Nature Geo science.

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Nato strikes Tripoli civilians

Libyan officials showed reporters five bodies, two of them of toddlers, they said died in a “barbaric” Nato air raid on Sunday, as pressure mounted on the alliance to allow a political solution. Government spokesman Mussa Ibrahim accused the Western alliance of “deliberately targeting civilians,” insisting there were no military targets anywhere near the residential neighborhood  of the capital that was hit. Nato said it was looking into the Libyan claim.

Ibrahim demanded that the alliance end its “aggression” to pave the way for dialogue, speaking just hours after organizations including the Arab League, the European Union and the United Nations highlighted the importance of “accelerating the launch of a political process” to end the conflict. Journalists were taken to the al-Arada district of Tripoli before 1am to see rescue teams helped by bystanders desperately searching for survivors among the wreckage of a two-storey block of flats.

Journalists were then taken to a Tripoli hospital where they were shown the bodies of a woman and two toddlers that officials said were members of the same family and had died in the raid. Ibrahim said he feared the death toll would rise as the building was home to at least 15 people. A Nato official in Brussels confirmed that the alliances had planes in the air over Tripoli over the past 24 hours. “We are aware of the claim made by the Libyan regime and we’re looking into it,” another official said. If confirmed the civilian deaths would be an embarrassment for the alliance which has been leading the bombing campaign under a UN mandate to protect civilians.

“It is another night of massacre, terror and horror at the hands of Nato,” the Libyan government spokesman charged. Western leaders “are normally and legally responsible for these murders,” Ibrahim said. “This is not propaganda. It is not something we can stage.” Libyan officials have been on the defensive over their credibility after they showed journalists a little girl being treated in hospital two weeks ago and said she had been wounded in a Nato air strike. A member of the medical staff said she had been injured in a traffic accident.

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